NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
22.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
SPA
1 - 0
NEC
65%
19%
17%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
NEC
0 - 0
XER
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
PSV
1 - 0
NEC
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
NEC
1 - 1
TWE
60%
22%
19%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
MVV
1 - 0
NEC
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
GRO
0 - 0
FEY
24%
26%
50%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
SPA
4 - 0
GRO
57%
24%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
GRO
1 - 1
VVD
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
XER
1 - 0
GRO
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
GRO
1 - 0
TEL
65%
21%
15%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |