NEC Nijmegen vs FC Eindhoven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
9.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
ALM
1 - 0
NEC
27%
24%
49%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
NEC
1 - 1
GAE
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
EXC
2 - 3
NEC
37%
23%
40%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
HEL
2 - 3
NEC
14%
21%
65%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
NEC
4 - 4
PSV
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
FC Eindhoven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
EIN
1 - 1
TWE
21%
25%
54%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
JON
0 - 3
EIN
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
GAE
2 - 0
EIN
50%
23%
27%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
RJC
0 - 0
EIN
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
EIN
0 - 1
MVV
39%
25%
36%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |