NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
NEC
5 - 2
AZA
20%
23%
57%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
HER
0 - 2
NEC
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
NEC
2 - 0
UTR
35%
28%
38%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2008 |
GRO
5 - 1
NEC
63%
23%
14%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
NEC
1 - 1
AJA
12%
19%
69%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
SPA
0 - 1
EXC
60%
22%
19%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
EXC
1 - 1
GRA
38%
24%
38%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
PSV
2 - 1
EXC
81%
13%
6%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2008 |
HER
2 - 0
EXC
51%
25%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2008 |
EXC
2 - 1
FEY
19%
22%
59%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | +1 |