NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
22.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
GAE
3 - 1
NEC
69%
20%
12%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
NEC
1 - 0
SPA
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 1985 |
RJC
6 - 1
NEC
69%
20%
11%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1983 |
FCB
2 - 0
NEC
89%
9%
2%
|
62 | 90 | 28 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1983 |
NEC
2 - 3
FCB
21%
26%
53%
|
62 | 89 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
EXC
1 - 3
SPA
45%
25%
29%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
TWE
1 - 1
EXC
62%
22%
17%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1985 |
EXC
2 - 3
AJA
19%
23%
58%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1985 |
HFC
5 - 5
EXC
62%
22%
17%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1985 |
EXC
2 - 0
PSV
19%
24%
58%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | +2 |