NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.6%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
6.5%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
ADO
1 - 0
NEC
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1973 |
NEC
7 - 0
BOS
67%
21%
12%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1973 |
TWE
2 - 0
NEC
72%
18%
10%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
NEC
0 - 4
AJA
18%
27%
54%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1973 |
TEL
3 - 1
NEC
46%
28%
26%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
EXC
2 - 3
PSV
12%
22%
66%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
GAE
2 - 1
EXC
79%
15%
7%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1973 |
EXC
2 - 3
AMS
25%
29%
47%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
HFC
2 - 0
EXC
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1973 |
EXC
1 - 0
AZA
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |