NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1970 |
TEL
0 - 1
NEC
51%
27%
22%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1970 |
NEC
4 - 0
VOL
55%
26%
19%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1970 |
DWS
2 - 2
NEC
51%
28%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
NEC
1 - 2
ADO
30%
29%
42%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
MVV
2 - 0
NEC
52%
28%
21%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1970 |
EXC
0 - 2
GAE
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1970 |
FEY
4 - 2
EXC
82%
11%
7%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1970 |
EXC
1 - 2
UTR
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
HFC
2 - 0
EXC
43%
27%
31%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1970 |
EXC
1 - 1
AJA
20%
20%
61%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |