UEFA Intertoto Cup Last 16
Global 0-1
NEC Nijmegen vs Cork City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
29.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2004 |
ADO
4 - 1
NEC
50%
25%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
NEC
1 - 1
VOL
58%
22%
19%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
VIT
2 - 2
NEC
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
NEC
0 - 0
AJA
17%
23%
60%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
PSV
3 - 0
NEC
77%
15%
8%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Cork City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
MFF
0 - 1
CAO
70%
19%
12%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2004 |
CAO
0 - 1
BOH
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
CAO
3 - 1
MFF
26%
26%
48%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2004 |
CAO
2 - 1
DER
59%
24%
16%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2004 |
SHE
2 - 2
CAO
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |