NEC Nijmegen vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
52.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
HER
2 - 0
NEC
46%
27%
28%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
NEC
0 - 0
FEY
26%
25%
49%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
SCH
4 - 1
NEC
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
NEC
0 - 2
RJC
55%
25%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
UTR
1 - 0
NEC
46%
27%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
AZA
2 - 0
UTR
66%
21%
14%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
AZA
3 - 2
HER
66%
20%
13%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
SPA
0 - 1
AZA
17%
22%
61%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
AZA
6 - 2
RKC
71%
20%
10%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
AZA
4 - 1
SCH
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |