NEC Nijmegen vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
56.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2006 |
RBC
2 - 0
NEC
22%
25%
52%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2006 |
NEC
0 - 3
TWE
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
UTR
1 - 1
NEC
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
NEC
1 - 2
FEY
15%
22%
63%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
RKC
1 - 3
NEC
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
AZA
1 - 2
PSV
34%
25%
41%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2006 |
AZA
2 - 1
BET
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
AZA
2 - 3
UTR
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2006 |
BET
2 - 0
AZA
49%
25%
25%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2006 |
SPA
0 - 1
AZA
25%
23%
53%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |