NEC Nijmegen vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
55.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1979 |
ADO
3 - 2
NEC
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1979 |
MVV
2 - 0
NEC
52%
25%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
NEC
1 - 0
SPA
35%
30%
35%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1979 |
AJA
3 - 2
NEC
85%
11%
5%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1979 |
VIT
0 - 1
NEC
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1979 |
AZA
0 - 0
MVV
82%
12%
6%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1979 |
NAC
2 - 3
AZA
30%
26%
44%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
UTR
1 - 2
AZA
33%
26%
41%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1979 |
VVV
1 - 1
AZA
22%
26%
53%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1979 |
AZA
4 - 1
ZWO
85%
10%
5%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |