NEC Nijmegen vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
40.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1977 |
NEC
1 - 0
VVV
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1977 |
AMS
0 - 3
NEC
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1977 |
NEC
2 - 1
VOL
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1977 |
TEL
0 - 5
NEC
50%
25%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 1977 |
GAE
2 - 3
NEC
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
AZA
4 - 0
VIT
79%
13%
8%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1977 |
VVV
2 - 2
AZA
32%
28%
41%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1977 |
AZA
4 - 1
UTR
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1977 |
AMS
2 - 9
AZA
37%
28%
36%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 1977 |
AJA
2 - 1
AZA
74%
16%
10%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | -1 |