NEC Nijmegen vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
31.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
GRA
3 - 0
NEC
47%
27%
27%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
EIN
3 - 1
NEC
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
NEC
0 - 0
RJC
52%
26%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
AMS
2 - 2
NEC
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
NEC
1 - 3
FEY
21%
23%
56%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
AZA
2 - 1
RJC
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
AMS
2 - 6
AZA
46%
27%
28%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
AZA
1 - 1
FEY
24%
24%
53%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1976 |
GAE
1 - 1
AZA
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
AZA
5 - 1
TEL
58%
24%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |