NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
53.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
AZA
5 - 0
NEC
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
NEC
2 - 1
BOS
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
NAC
1 - 3
NEC
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
GRO
2 - 2
NEC
55%
23%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
NEC
3 - 1
FOR
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
AJA
2 - 0
BOS
77%
14%
9%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
AJA
1 - 0
UTR
72%
16%
12%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
SPA
0 - 4
AJA
13%
19%
68%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2002 |
AJA
3 - 0
PSV
50%
23%
27%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2002 |
AJA
4 - 3
GRO
83%
12%
5%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |