NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
70%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1986 |
VVV
0 - 3
NEC
63%
23%
14%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1986 |
NEC
0 - 0
FOR
48%
28%
23%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1986 |
MVV
0 - 1
NEC
60%
24%
16%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1986 |
NEC
1 - 2
UTR
47%
28%
25%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
GRO
2 - 0
NEC
80%
13%
7%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1986 |
FOR
1 - 4
AJA
16%
21%
63%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
AJA
4 - 1
BOS
92%
5%
2%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
VVV
1 - 4
AJA
15%
19%
66%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
HFC
1 - 2
AJA
19%
22%
59%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
AJA
3 - 0
UTR
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |