NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
50.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
HFC
6 - 0
NEC
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
NEC
0 - 2
TWE
27%
28%
45%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
PSV
3 - 0
NEC
77%
15%
8%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
NEC
1 - 1
SPA
44%
28%
29%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
ADO
1 - 2
NEC
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1977 |
AJA
2 - 1
LSO
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1977 |
AJA
5 - 0
VVV
81%
13%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
LSO
1 - 2
AJA
42%
25%
33%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
AMS
1 - 3
AJA
27%
26%
47%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
AJA
1 - 2
VOL
88%
9%
3%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |