NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
51.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1977 |
SPA
5 - 0
NEC
64%
22%
15%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1977 |
NEC
1 - 1
ADO
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1977 |
PSV
3 - 0
NEC
79%
14%
7%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1977 |
NEC
1 - 2
HFC
62%
23%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1977 |
AZA
4 - 1
NEC
65%
20%
14%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1977 |
AJA
1 - 2
RJC
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1977 |
AMS
2 - 3
AJA
24%
27%
49%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
AJA
2 - 1
FEY
55%
22%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1977 |
GAE
1 - 0
AJA
24%
26%
50%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1977 |
AJA
4 - 0
TEL
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |