NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
63.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1970 |
MVV
1 - 1
NEC
56%
26%
18%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1970 |
NEC
0 - 3
ADO
31%
29%
40%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1970 |
SVV
4 - 2
NEC
52%
27%
22%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1970 |
NEC
1 - 1
TEL
55%
25%
21%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1970 |
DWS
1 - 1
NEC
51%
28%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1970 |
ADO
1 - 1
AJA
27%
26%
48%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1970 |
AJA
8 - 0
SVV
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1970 |
TEL
1 - 1
AJA
15%
23%
62%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1970 |
AJA
6 - 1
DWS
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1970 |
NAC
1 - 1
AJA
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |