NEC Nijmegen U21 vs Willem II U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
23.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
4º
8º
5º
12
5º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CAM
3 - 0
NEC
33%
22%
46%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
NEC
2 - 1
DBS
64%
18%
18%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
NEC
3 - 4
NAC
34%
23%
43%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
THS
2 - 0
NEC
66%
18%
16%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
NEC
5 - 0
VVV
57%
21%
22%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Willem II U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
WIL
2 - 3
VIT
35%
23%
43%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ACY
5 - 2
WIL
65%
18%
17%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
WIL
1 - 1
PEC
12%
18%
70%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
WIL
0 - 2
FYN
14%
19%
67%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
GRO
2 - 0
WIL
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |