NEC Nijmegen U21 vs Roda JC U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
32.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
4º
8º
5º
12
3º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
VIT
4 - 2
NEC
51%
21%
28%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
NEC
5 - 0
EMM
63%
19%
19%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
NEC
1 - 0
HER
39%
23%
39%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
GAE
2 - 0
NEC
62%
21%
18%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
NEC
0 - 1
VIT
47%
21%
32%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Roda JC U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
EMM
3 - 3
ROD
38%
21%
40%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ROD
5 - 0
CAM
37%
21%
42%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ROD
1 - 4
VIT
44%
21%
35%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ROD
4 - 1
WIL
50%
22%
29%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ROD
1 - 4
GAE
30%
23%
47%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |