NEC Nijmegen Sub 21 vs Fortuna Sittard Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
18.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2014 |
HER
1 - 1
NEC
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2014 |
NEC
1 - 1
PEC
45%
22%
33%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2014 |
VIT
4 - 1
NEC
63%
19%
19%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2014 |
NEC
0 - 3
ADO
65%
18%
17%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2013 |
NEC
0 - 1
HER
36%
22%
41%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
4 - 2
HER
17%
19%
64%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
VOL
2 - 2
FOR
56%
21%
24%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2014 |
FOR
4 - 2
DOR
64%
19%
18%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2014 |
VVV
1 - 2
FOR
73%
16%
12%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 4
GRO
17%
20%
63%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |