NEC FC vs UPDF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
20.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+164%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
KIT
1 - 2
NEC
51%
23%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
NEC
3 - 1
VIP
48%
25%
27%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
NEC
0 - 1
KIT
40%
25%
35%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
NEC
0 - 2
SCV
53%
25%
22%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
EXP
1 - 2
NEC
35%
24%
41%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
UPDF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
UPD
1 - 0
LUG
78%
15%
8%
|
33 | 6 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 1
UPD
49%
24%
26%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
WAK
0 - 1
UPD
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
UPD
2 - 1
MFC
28%
25%
47%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
UPD
0 - 2
SCV
34%
27%
39%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -2 |