NEC FC vs Mbarara City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
39.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+87%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
JIN
2 - 3
NEC
50%
23%
27%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
NEC
2 - 1
AHS
40%
23%
38%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
VIP
4 - 1
NEC
73%
15%
12%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2023 |
NEC
0 - 0
BRI
32%
23%
45%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2023 |
NEC
2 - 5
EXP
33%
23%
44%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Mbarara City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
MCF
3 - 1
EXP
34%
28%
38%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
BUL
1 - 1
MCF
57%
23%
21%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2024 |
MCF
2 - 1
WAK
45%
26%
29%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2023 |
URA
3 - 0
MCF
59%
22%
19%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
MCF
0 - 0
KIT
38%
23%
39%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |