NEC FC vs Acholi United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
8.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
UPD
2 - 2
NEC
34%
24%
42%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
NEC
2 - 0
MCF
37%
24%
40%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +4 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
JIN
2 - 3
NEC
50%
23%
27%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
NEC
2 - 1
AHS
40%
23%
38%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
VIP
4 - 1
NEC
73%
15%
12%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |