Neath Athletic vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neath Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 2
NEA
21%
24%
56%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
NEA
1 - 1
TNS
40%
26%
35%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
AIR
2 - 2
NEA
22%
24%
54%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
NEA
1 - 1
LID
76%
16%
9%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BAN
2 - 1
NEA
58%
22%
21%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
NEW
0 - 2
LLA
12%
20%
68%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2011 |
PRE
2 - 1
NEW
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
NEW
2 - 0
POR
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
BAL
2 - 2
NEW
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
NEW
1 - 2
ABE
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |