Neath Athletic vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neath Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2010 |
HAV
2 - 1
NEA
38%
25%
38%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2010 |
HAV
0 - 3
NEA
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
BAN
2 - 1
NEA
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -3 |
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
NEA
0 - 2
SWA
25%
25%
50%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
AIR
1 - 1
NEA
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2010 |
AIR
4 - 2
NEW
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
NEW
1 - 0
PRE
51%
23%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
ABE
2 - 2
NEW
63%
22%
16%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
HAV
0 - 1
NEW
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
BAN
0 - 0
NEW
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |