Neath Athletic vs Llanelli AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neath Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
NEA
1 - 3
BAN
42%
25%
33%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
PRE
2 - 3
NEA
15%
23%
61%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
LID
2 - 1
NEA
20%
23%
56%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
BAL
2 - 2
NEA
26%
26%
48%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
NEA
0 - 1
LID
74%
16%
10%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
LLA
3 - 2
PRE
81%
13%
6%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 1
LLA
27%
25%
48%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
TNS
1 - 1
LLA
65%
19%
16%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BAN
2 - 2
LLA
65%
19%
16%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
LLA
1 - 2
BAL
74%
17%
10%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |