Neath Athletic vs Carmarthen Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neath Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
TNS
3 - 0
NEA
69%
18%
13%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
NEA
3 - 0
AIR
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
LID
1 - 0
NEA
21%
24%
55%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
NEA
2 - 0
BAN
37%
24%
39%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
NEA
4 - 2
ABE
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 3
LLA
11%
20%
69%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
PRE
6 - 1
CAR
63%
22%
15%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 0
POR
30%
27%
43%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BAL
2 - 0
CAR
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 1
NEW
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -2 |