Neapolis vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
52.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
RAA
0 - 1
NEA
59%
22%
19%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
NEA
0 - 2
CHI
44%
25%
31%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ARZ
1 - 0
NEA
64%
20%
16%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
NEA
2 - 0
ACI
56%
23%
22%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
EBO
1 - 1
NEA
60%
21%
19%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
PRG
3 - 1
GIU
82%
14%
5%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ARZ
1 - 1
PRG
34%
28%
38%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
PRG
1 - 1
CAM
83%
13%
4%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
PAG
0 - 0
PRG
36%
29%
35%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PRG
2 - 0
ASM
82%
14%
5%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |