Neapolis vs Milazzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
GIU
0 - 1
NEA
54%
24%
23%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
NEA
0 - 1
PAG
27%
26%
47%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
CAM
3 - 0
NEA
52%
24%
24%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
NEA
2 - 3
FON
44%
25%
31%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VIG
1 - 0
NEA
67%
20%
13%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Milazzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MIL
2 - 2
ARZ
41%
25%
34%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
LAQ
0 - 0
MIL
56%
24%
20%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ASM
2 - 2
MIL
50%
24%
26%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
MIL
3 - 1
EBO
52%
24%
24%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FAN
1 - 0
MIL
47%
25%
28%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |