Neapolis vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
USV
0 - 1
NEA
40%
25%
35%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
NEA
1 - 2
GAV
45%
24%
31%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
FCC
1 - 2
NEA
33%
24%
43%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
NEA
3 - 2
APR
42%
25%
33%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
FAN
3 - 1
NEA
34%
25%
40%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
FCC
2 - 0
ASM
64%
22%
15%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
VIG
1 - 0
FCC
45%
27%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
GIU
1 - 1
FCC
29%
28%
43%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
FCC
2 - 0
FON
71%
19%
11%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
FCC
2 - 1
PAG
22%
28%
50%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +3 |