Neapolis vs Ebolitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
55.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
FCC
3 - 0
NEA
39%
26%
35%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
NEA
2 - 2
USV
70%
19%
11%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
MIL
1 - 2
NEA
64%
21%
15%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
NEA
2 - 1
USV
67%
20%
13%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ASM
2 - 2
NEA
49%
23%
27%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ebolitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
EBO
1 - 1
LAQ
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
GAV
3 - 1
EBO
18%
23%
59%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | -2 |
| 09 Jun. 2011 |
CUN
1 - 1
EBO
38%
26%
37%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
EBO
2 - 2
ARZ
65%
21%
15%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
APR
1 - 3
EBO
19%
23%
58%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |