Nea Ionia vs Thyella D Rafina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+95%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
12º
5º
23
10º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 66 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 61 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 58 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 57 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
|
7º
|
32 | 54 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 51 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 51 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 51 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 48 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 48 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 39 |
11º
|
29.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 35 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 34 |
13º
|
23.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 32 |
14º
|
27.5% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 25 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 25 |
16º
|
27% | |
|
17º
|
8 | 19 |
17º
|
73.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 26% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1.5% | 29.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 44.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nea Ionia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
GIO
1 - 2
LON
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
FCM
1 - 1
LON
50%
24%
25%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ETH
3 - 1
LON
55%
25%
20%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
LON
0 - 3
ILI
38%
25%
38%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
AOT
1 - 2
LON
37%
25%
38%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Thyella D Rafina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
RAF
0 - 3
ETH
17%
26%
58%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ILI
0 - 0
RAF
60%
23%
17%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
RAF
2 - 0
AOT
51%
25%
25%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
RAF
1 - 0
CHA
33%
27%
40%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
ASP
1 - 0
RAF
57%
24%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |