ND Slovan Ljubljana vs Drava Ptuj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
30%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
12º
16º
12º
12
7º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 60 |
1º
|
40% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 60 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 56 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 53 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 51 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 49 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 44 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 44 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 36 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 36 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 34 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 30 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 29 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 28 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
|
15º
|
12 | 27 |
15º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 23 |
16º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
89% | 55.5% |
|
Relegation
|
11% | 44.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ND Slovan Ljubljana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
ALU
2 - 0
NSV
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
NSV
0 - 2
BIS
44%
23%
33%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TOL
1 - 0
NSV
45%
24%
31%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 1
NSV
50%
21%
29%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
NSV
1 - 1
TRI
42%
24%
35%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Drava Ptuj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BIS
3 - 2
DRA
57%
21%
21%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
DRA
0 - 2
TRI
34%
25%
42%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
NSS
1 - 5
DRA
6%
11%
83%
|
51 | 8 | 43 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
RUD
0 - 0
DRA
41%
25%
35%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
DRA
1 - 4
BRI
34%
24%
42%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |