ND Dravinja Kostroj vs Smartno 1928 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ND Dravinja Kostroj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
NKI
2 - 1
TOL
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 0
SMA
63%
22%
16%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
TOL
0 - 0
ALU
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 1
TOL
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 1
MUR
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Smartno 1928
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
SMA
3 - 2
NKD
27%
25%
48%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 0
SMA
63%
22%
16%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
SMA
0 - 2
NKD
33%
24%
43%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ALU
4 - 0
SMA
82%
12%
6%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
SMA
1 - 3
KRS
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |