ND Dravinja Kostroj vs NK Tolmin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
30.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
4º
15º
7º
4
6º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 59 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 54 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 54 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 51 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 50 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 47 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
|
4º
|
13 | 42 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 39 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 36 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 36 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 35 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 34 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 34 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 33 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 30 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
4 | 24 |
16º
|
37.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 39.5% |
|
Relegation
|
4% | 60.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ND Dravinja Kostroj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
KRK
0 - 3
TOL
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
SPJ
0 - 8
TOL
7%
15%
78%
|
49 | 19 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TOL
1 - 0
BIL
39%
26%
36%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
TAS
4 - 1
TOL
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TOL
0 - 0
DRA
35%
25%
41%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
NK Tolmin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TOL
0 - 1
DEK
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
NKI
1 - 2
TOL
9%
14%
77%
|
51 | 19 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TOL
1 - 1
NSV
43%
24%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
KRK
1 - 2
TOL
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
TOL
0 - 1
BIL
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |