ND Dravinja Kostroj vs Mura 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ND Dravinja Kostroj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
SMA
1 - 1
TOL
32%
26%
42%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2010 |
TOL
1 - 0
SEN
57%
23%
19%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
ALU
0 - 1
TOL
64%
20%
15%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
TOL
1 - 1
BEL
46%
26%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
KRS
1 - 0
TOL
34%
27%
39%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Mura 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
NKD
2 - 0
MUR
47%
24%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2010 |
MUR
4 - 0
SMA
59%
21%
19%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
SEN
0 - 3
MUR
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
MUR
0 - 3
ALU
27%
25%
48%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
BEL
4 - 1
MUR
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |