Cup Quarter-finals
Global 0-3
ND Dravinja Kostroj vs Celje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
59.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ND Dravinja Kostroj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
TOL
0 - 3
KRS
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
ZAV
4 - 1
TOL
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
TOL
2 - 3
BEL
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
CEL
2 - 0
TOL
73%
18%
10%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 3
RAD
45%
26%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 2
TRI
61%
23%
15%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
CEL
0 - 1
FCK
42%
27%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
ALU
1 - 2
CEL
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 2
CEL
61%
22%
18%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 2
OLI
38%
27%
36%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |