NC Magra vs USM Alger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
32%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
11º
15º
12º
0
3º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
7º
|
0 | 50 |
1º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
3 | 50 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 49 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 49 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
3º
|
3 | 49 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
0 | 47 |
6º
|
6.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 47 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
1º
|
3 | 44 |
8º
|
5% | |
|
|
11º
|
0 | 43 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 35 |
10º
|
6% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 35 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
0 | 34 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 34 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
0 | 32 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 31 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 31 |
16º
|
20% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0.5% | 9.5% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
1% | 6% |
|
Mid-table
|
80% | 80% |
|
Relegation
|
18.5% | 4.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NC Magra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
OUK
1 - 0
NCM
30%
28%
42%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
NCM
2 - 3
USM
42%
29%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
USK
2 - 2
NCM
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
NCM
2 - 0
PAR
30%
28%
42%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
SET
0 - 0
NCM
60%
23%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
NCM
2 - 3
USM
42%
29%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
USM
3 - 0
SOU
70%
19%
12%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 1
USM
60%
24%
17%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
CON
1 - 1
USM
58%
25%
18%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
USM
0 - 2
ETO
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |