NC Magra vs USM Alger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
41.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
9º
14º
13º
40
1º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 4 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NC Magra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
NCM
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
NCM
4 - 2
CHL
41%
29%
30%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
BEL
3 - 1
NCM
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NCM
1 - 0
EBA
52%
27%
21%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
NCM
0 - 0
ARB
47%
28%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
USM
2 - 1
PAR
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
USM
1 - 1
SAO
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ORA
1 - 0
USM
44%
27%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CHE
1 - 3
USM
29%
30%
41%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
USM
1 - 0
JSK
55%
25%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |