NB Bornholm vs Frem 1886 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
73.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NB Bornholm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
NBB
2 - 1
TAA
20%
21%
60%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
NBB
2 - 2
FRE
20%
21%
59%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
NBB
1 - 5
KFU
12%
17%
71%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
VAN
0 - 0
NBB
81%
13%
6%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
NBB
0 - 1
TAA
17%
20%
63%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Frem 1886
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
HEL
1 - 2
FRE
24%
25%
51%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
FRE
2 - 0
B93
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
FRE
0 - 0
FRE
12%
20%
67%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
VAN
3 - 4
FRE
10%
20%
70%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
FRE
2 - 2
AVA
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |