Nazarenos vs AD Portomosense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
13%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nazarenos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
MDB
2 - 0
NAZ
56%
21%
23%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
NAZ
2 - 0
CUL
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
VIE
1 - 0
NAZ
40%
23%
37%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
NAZ
1 - 1
LEM
29%
23%
48%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
NAZ
1 - 0
ALV
54%
22%
24%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AD Portomosense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
ADP
1 - 3
ALV
36%
24%
40%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 2
ADP
74%
16%
10%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ADP
1 - 3
GRA
18%
21%
61%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
GUI
1 - 2
ADP
82%
12%
6%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ADP
4 - 0
PAT
48%
23%
30%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |