Naxxar Lions FC vs Birkirkara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
68.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naxxar Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BAL
8 - 0
NAX
78%
15%
8%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
NAX
0 - 8
HIB
9%
16%
75%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
VAL
4 - 0
NAX
75%
17%
8%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
NAX
0 - 3
TAR
25%
25%
50%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
FLO
4 - 0
NAX
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BIR
2 - 1
SLI
72%
19%
9%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
TAR
1 - 2
BIR
28%
26%
47%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +4 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
BIR
0 - 1
FLO
58%
24%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
PAT
0 - 1
BIR
16%
23%
61%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
BIR
6 - 3
MOS
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |