Náxara vs Racing Rioja B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
6.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
5º
1º
14
12º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 57 |
5º
|
62.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
6º
|
94% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
32.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
2.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
6% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
71.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náxara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ANG
1 - 2
NAX
41%
24%
36%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
RUN
1 - 0
NAX
74%
17%
9%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
NAX
1 - 0
AGO
78%
14%
8%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 1
NAX
27%
23%
51%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
NAX
4 - 0
CAS
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Racing Rioja B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
RRF
0 - 4
CDC
44%
22%
34%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
COM
3 - 2
RRF
52%
21%
27%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
RRF
1 - 1
OYO
46%
22%
32%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
VIA
1 - 0
RRF
40%
23%
37%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
COM
1 - 0
RRF
46%
22%
32%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |