Náxara vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
57.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náxara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
UFC
3 - 2
NAX
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
TUD
2 - 0
NAX
68%
20%
12%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
NAX
0 - 1
CLH
17%
25%
58%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 0
NAX
78%
15%
8%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
NAX
0 - 0
ARE
23%
26%
51%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ATB
1 - 0
MEL
61%
23%
16%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MEL
0 - 1
ANT
28%
30%
42%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
MAL
1 - 0
MEL
73%
20%
7%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MEL
1 - 2
INT
28%
29%
43%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CEU
0 - 0
MEL
69%
20%
11%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |