Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Náxara vs Racing Cartagena Mar Menor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
18.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náxara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 1
NAX
29%
24%
47%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 4
NAX
7%
15%
79%
|
40 | 11 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
NAX
4 - 1
CDF
92%
6%
2%
|
40 | 11 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
NAX
4 - 0
OYO
89%
8%
3%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CLH
1 - 1
NAX
62%
21%
18%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 1
NAX
29%
24%
47%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
CAP
0 - 1
MAR
16%
22%
62%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
AGU
36%
26%
38%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
IMP
0 - 1
MAR
41%
25%
34%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
NUE
0 - 3
MAR
20%
21%
59%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |