Náxara vs River Ebro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+75%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
5º
1º
34
3º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 57 |
5º
|
62.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
6º
|
94% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
32.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
47% | |
|
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
2.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
6% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
71.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náxara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
RRF
1 - 3
NAX
10%
15%
75%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
NAX
3 - 1
ANG
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
AGO
0 - 2
NAX
34%
24%
42%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
NAX
1 - 0
BAL
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 4
NAX
42%
23%
36%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
River Ebro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
RIV
0 - 0
CDC
33%
25%
42%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
COM
0 - 1
RIV
39%
23%
38%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
RIV
2 - 3
OYO
19%
23%
59%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
VIA
1 - 2
RIV
41%
23%
36%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
RIV
0 - 1
YAG
42%
24%
34%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |