Navy vs Fencibles United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
72.4%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.1%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
NAV
2 - 4
FCW
34%
22%
44%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
NAV
1 - 6
FRU
27%
21%
53%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Fencibles United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
FEN
2 - 2
EAS
7%
12%
81%
|
10 | 44 | 34 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
FEN
3 - 0
NRF
44%
22%
34%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
FEN
2 - 4
CLA
59%
19%
21%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
FEN
1 - 5
EAS
1%
4%
95%
|
11 | 70 | 59 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
MSA
1 - 3
FEN
27%
21%
52%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |