Navua vs Tavua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
NAD
1 - 5
NAV
48%
25%
27%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
NAV
0 - 1
REW
49%
25%
26%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
NAV
2 - 2
LAU
45%
25%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
BAF
2 - 0
NAV
67%
19%
15%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
NAV
0 - 0
NAD
46%
26%
28%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Tavua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
TAV
0 - 1
BAF
45%
25%
30%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
NAD
5 - 0
TAV
46%
25%
29%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
TAV
0 - 1
SUV
46%
25%
29%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
NAD
4 - 0
TAV
46%
24%
30%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
TAV
0 - 2
LAU
46%
24%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -2 |