Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 1-3
Naviraiense vs Santo André analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
63.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naviraiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
COM
1 - 0
NAV
50%
25%
26%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
NAV
1 - 2
COM
45%
24%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
CHA
1 - 0
NAV
29%
24%
47%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
NAV
4 - 0
CHA
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
NAV
1 - 0
RIO
63%
20%
17%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
BOT
2 - 0
SAN
29%
24%
47%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAN
19%
22%
59%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
MOG
1 - 1
SAN
28%
24%
48%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
ITU
68%
18%
13%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
MIR
1 - 1
SAN
29%
22%
48%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |