Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 1-1
Naviraiense vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
61.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naviraiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 2
NAV
29%
25%
46%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
URS
1 - 2
NAV
20%
23%
58%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
NAV
2 - 2
AGU
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
7DE
1 - 2
NAV
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
NAV
2 - 2
ITA
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
POR
1 - 0
SAO
83%
13%
5%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
POR
11%
18%
71%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
POR
2 - 0
GUA
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
POR
2 - 0
RIO
77%
16%
8%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
VEL
1 - 2
POR
14%
20%
66%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | +1 |